0x8474…c1a5
Skill vs luck
0x8474…c1a5 on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit +$721. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x8474…c1a5: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x8474d0a30b316de18bd682631d98cc2dc806c1a5. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x8474…c1a5: +$721 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$721
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL Yes @ 69¢ | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27? ↗ | $3.1K |
| Oct 21 | SELL No @ 70¢ | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21? ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 15 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 |
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 | $2.7K |
| Oct 14 | SELL Over
@ 97¢
AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 |
AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | $1.4K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?