Scarce-Acquaintance

0x0eb324a7fab8f9a32cd5d85dbd301d56f23097cf

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Scarce-Acquaintance: +$2.0K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.0K
return +45.2%
Settled bets
7
$4.4K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$396
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$802
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 2 SELL Yes @ 82¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?
Will France win on 2026-10-02? $1.6K
Sep 14 SELL Yes @ 97¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14? $1.0K
Sep 14 SELL Yes @ 43¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? $1.4K
Sep 14 BUY Yes @ 47¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? $2.4K
Sep 13 SELL No @ 99¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-13?
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-13? $1.1K
Aug 27 SELL No @ 84¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16?
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16? $1.3K
Aug 25 SELL Yes @ 86¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-25?
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-25? $1.1K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed