Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Resolved: Vitality won · See it on Polymarket ↗
21 whales traded $88K on this market since Oct 27, 86% of their buying on Vitality. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 94% of the size there to buy. Vitality won, with 86% of the whale buying on it. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$24K and 6 lost −$11K: +$12K between them. Biggest win: Petty-Flair-Outfielder, +$16K on Vitality. Biggest loss: Good-Natured-Conduct, −$3.0K on Natus Vincere.
The whales on this market
21 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petty-Flair-Outfielder
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Vitality @ 69¢ | $35K | — | +$16K |
| Substantial-Service
1,066 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Vitality @ 96¢ | $14K | — | +$590 |
| Kosher-Refuse
417 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 68¢ | $7.4K | — | +$3.4K |
| Fatherly-Bungalow-Haunt
22 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $3.7K | — |
| Good-Natured-Conduct
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Natus Vincere @ 27¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Oval-Maternity
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 30¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
| Rundown-Pith-Pheasant
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Imperturbable-Crow
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 72¢ | $2.0K | — | +$771 |
| Ill-Informed-Mast
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Vitality @ 70¢ | $2.0K | — | +$851 |
| Kooky-Pulse
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 30¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Yawning-Chili
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 70¢ | $1.6K | — | +$675 |
| Forsaken-Hat
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Vitality @ 73¢ | $1.5K | — | +$540 |
| Plush-Debate-Paddle
24 settled bets Too few bets |
Natus Vincere @ 31¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Waterlogged-Glasses
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 32¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Sane-Attention
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Vitality @ 83¢ | $1.2K | — | +$248 |
| Radiant-Reamer-Wont
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Natus Vincere @ 30¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Cultivated-Communist
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 88¢ | $1.2K | — | +$163 |
| Rundown-Floozie-Keeper
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Good-Waiter-Staircase
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Vitality @ 69¢ | $1.1K | — | +$514 |
| Scary-Pearl
310 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 98¢ | $1.1K | — | +$23 |
| Second-Decrease-Assumption
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Vitality won$68K86% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $8.4K sold
-
Natus Vincere lost$11K14% of whale buying · 6 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $53K | 14 | Won: Vitality | |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | $64K | 3 | Won: Vitality | |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27? | $139K | 28 | Won: Yes | |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | $230K | 7 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | $50K | 11 | Won: MIBR | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | $52K | 7 | Open | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $217K | 21 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $188K | 45 | Won: MOUZ |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?