Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Resolved: Vitality won · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $53K on this market since Oct 27, 55% of their buying on Vitality. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Vitality won, with 55% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$3.0K and 4 lost −$11K: −$8.2K between them. Biggest win: Fake-Sculptural-Inside, +$2.6K on Vitality. Biggest loss: Better-Military, −$4.2K on Natus Vincere.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forked-Settler
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 63¢ | $4.4K | $8.5K | — |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,149 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $7.8K | — |
| Delicious-Attacker
646 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 40¢ | $5.2K | — | −$3.0K |
| Fine-Fowl
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.3K | — |
| Better-Military
175 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 46¢ | $4.2K | — | −$4.2K |
| Guilty-Aide
58 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Vitality @ 59¢ | $1.3K | $2.7K | — |
| Fake-Sculptural-Inside
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Vitality @ 59¢ | $3.7K | — | +$2.6K |
| Discrete-Century
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 71¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,434 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Natus Vincere @ 28¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Pricey-Sugar
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Insubstantial-Utilisation
20 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Worthwhile-Rainbow
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Scary-Pearl
310 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 99¢ | $1.3K | — | +$16 |
| Unwritten-Score
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 73¢ | $1.0K | — | +$376 |
Where the whale money went
-
Vitality won$14K55% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $24K sold
-
Natus Vincere lost$11K45% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $4.3K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | $64K | 3 | Won: Vitality | |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $88K | 21 | Won: Vitality | |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | $230K | 7 | Open | |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27? | $139K | 28 | Won: Yes | |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | $50K | 11 | Won: MIBR | |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) | $74K | 4 | Won: SV Werder Bremen | |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27? | $58K | 13 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | $52K | 7 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?