Critical-Adaptation-Pronoun
Skill vs luck
Critical-Adaptation-Pronoun on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–49%) · profit −$1.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Critical-Adaptation-Pronoun: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe33ed03b8c0422c3e1686a224e48a40f944a09bf. Data CC BY 4.0.
Critical-Adaptation-Pronoun: −$1.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$1.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Bnei Sakhnin FC win on 2026-10-24? |
Will Bnei Sakhnin FC win on 2026-10-24? | $2.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Yes @ 54¢ | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23? |
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23? | $1.4K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?