Polymarket market · Sports

Patriots vs. Bills

Resolved: Patriots won · See it on Polymarket ↗

25 whales put $419K into this market since Oct 4, 84% of their buying on Bills. Patriots won. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$118K and 15 lost −$310K: −$192K between them.

The whales on this market

25 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bills @ 74¢ $229K — −$229K
Dual-Criticism
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 52¢ $46K — +$4.5K
Grandiose-Wasp-Knickers
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 74¢ $44K — −$44K
True-Grandparent
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 27¢ $27K — +$73K
Grubby-Mall
5 settled bets Too few bets
Bills @ 74¢ $8.9K — −$8.9K
Same-Kidney
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 27¢ $8.1K — +$22K
Scaly-Duel
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.9K —
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 58¢ $6.0K — −$6.0K
Distant-Pomelo
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 53¢ $2.2K $3.6K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bills @ 50¢ $5.8K — −$3.5K
Horrible-Recording
10 settled bets Too few bets
Bills @ 63¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Infamous-Ocelot
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 74¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Devoted-Oats
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 51¢ $3.5K — +$3.4K
Pointed-Regionalism
2 settled bets Too few bets
Bills @ 44¢ $1.3K $1.9K +$637
Hospitable-Maestro
6 settled bets Too few bets
Patriots @ 27¢ $3.0K — +$8.1K
Harsh-Bed-Showstopper
2 settled bets Too few bets
Bills @ 74¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 39¢ $1.8K — +$2.7K
Normal-Check
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 32¢ $1.6K — +$3.4K
Unkempt-Image
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 74¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Sweet-Number
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 55¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Worldly-Stem
1 settled bets Too few bets
Bills @ 74¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Half-Defendant
9 settled bets Too few bets
Bills @ 74¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Ignorant-Front
48 settled bets Worse than the odds
Bills @ 74¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Hateful-Chord
157 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bills @ 74¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Mean-Recruit-Idea
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 69¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Bills lost
    $340K
    84% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $5.5K sold
  2. Patriots won
    $67K
    17% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $6.9K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed