Half-Defendant
0xcd0e49bdd7e8abed92bda5bf3431cb0b144d46e7
Half-Defendant: −$9.1K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 27%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$9.1K
return −38.7%
Settled bets
9
$24K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 27%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$102
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$9.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 87¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Utah
@ 68¢
Spread: Rangers (-1.5) |
Spread: Rangers (-1.5) | $1.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Bills
@ 74¢
Patriots vs. Bills |
Patriots vs. Bills | $1.4K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Under
@ 91¢
Georgia vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5 |
Georgia vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5 | $1.5K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Under
@ 90¢
Belgium vs. France: O/U 5.5 |
Belgium vs. France: O/U 5.5 | $3.1K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Leylah Fernandez
@ 94¢
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Talia Gibson |
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Talia Gibson | $5.3K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Over
@ 90¢
Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 1.5 |
Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 1.5 | $4.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Over
@ 90¢
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5 |
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5 | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.