Scaly-Duel
0xf5e15d3344c35890f1aa716dca88e13eb9065ad0
Scaly-Duel: +$164 on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 19%–68%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$164
return +0.8%
Settled bets
12
$21K staked
Won
41.7%
95% range 19%–68%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.6K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Saints
@ 48¢
Spread: Falcons (-16.5) |
Spread: Falcons (-16.5) | $1.4K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Patriots
@ 99.9¢
Patriots vs. Bills |
Patriots vs. Bills | $6.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Wang Cong
@ 36¢
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) |
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 51¢
Louisville vs. NC State: O/U 47.5 |
Louisville vs. NC State: O/U 47.5 | $2.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Marvin Vettori
@ 45¢
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) |
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | $1.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 52¢
Vanderbilt vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5 |
Vanderbilt vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5 | $1.1K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Over
@ 51¢
Patriots vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 |
Patriots vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 | $3.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Rodolfo Bellato
@ 64¢
UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) |
UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.