Harsh-Bed-Showstopper
0x6f11bcdd1e09a7109b61e6c26ddbcfe3f204c524
Harsh-Bed-Showstopper: −$500 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$500
return −10.4%
Settled bets
2
$4.8K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$500
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY 49ers
@ 60¢
Broncos vs. 49ers |
Broncos vs. 49ers | $2.6K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Bills
@ 74¢
Patriots vs. Bills |
Patriots vs. Bills | $2.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.