Grandiose-Wasp-Knickers
0xa90429bc88a1d22eb40e4aac9aaf0bcefd29d20c
Grandiose-Wasp-Knickers: +$29K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 18%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$29K
return +6.0%
Settled bets
13
$482K staked
Won
38.5%
95% range 18%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$29K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 | $42K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Falcons
@ 51¢
Spread: Saints (-1.5) |
Spread: Saints (-1.5) | $21K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Falcons
@ 53¢
Spread: Saints (-2.5) |
Spread: Saints (-2.5) | $12K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Bills
@ 74¢
Patriots vs. Bills |
Patriots vs. Bills | $44K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Bills
@ 53¢
Spread: Bills (-6.5) |
Spread: Bills (-6.5) | $45K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Jets
@ 51¢
Spread: Bears (-3.5) |
Spread: Bears (-3.5) | $51K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Temple
@ 49¢
Spread: South Florida (-5.5) |
Spread: South Florida (-5.5) | $68K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Old Dominion
@ 51¢
Spread: Georgia State (-2.5) |
Spread: Georgia State (-2.5) | $18K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.