Devoted-Oats
0x5f0e3501b7c629f3fe5721f56cac7052323c7397
Devoted-Oats: −$19K on 66 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 43%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$19K
return −10.1%
Settled bets
66
$194K staked
Won
54.5%
95% range 43%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 51 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$10K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$13K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$4.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 60¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 70¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Patriots
@ 49¢
Patriots vs. Bills |
Patriots vs. Bills | $2.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Patriots
@ 53¢
Patriots vs. Bills |
Patriots vs. Bills | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY OG
@ 63¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier | $6.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Legacy
@ 74¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 69¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Sep 27 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 43¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.