True-Grandparent
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b
True-Grandparent: +$106K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 23%–64%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$106K
return +45.1%
Settled bets
19
$234K staked
Won
42.1%
95% range 23%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$20K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$23K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$148K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Buccaneers
@ 20¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $20K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Lions
@ 19¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Lions
@ 27¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $6.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Chiefs
@ 87¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders |
Chiefs vs. Raiders | $24K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Raiders
@ 26¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders |
Chiefs vs. Raiders | $6.7K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Raiders
@ 38¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders |
Chiefs vs. Raiders | $3.8K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Chargers
@ 25¢
Chargers vs. Seahawks |
Chargers vs. Seahawks | $18K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Titans
@ 48¢
Spread: Ravens (-10.5) |
Spread: Ravens (-10.5) | $7.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.