0x9b11…5375

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

0x9b11…5375: −$70K on 95 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 37%–56%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$70K
return −34.1%
Settled bets
95
$205K staked
Won
46.3%
95% range 37%–56%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 67 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$172
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$70K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Buccaneers @ 96¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys $1.9K
Oct 9 SELL Buccaneers @ 96¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys $1.9K
Oct 9 SELL Buccaneers @ 96¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys $2.0K
Oct 9 SELL Buccaneers @ 96¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys $2.0K
Oct 9 SELL Buccaneers @ 96¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys $2.0K
Oct 9 SELL Buccaneers @ 96¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys $2.0K
Oct 9 SELL Under @ 76¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 $1.0K
Oct 9 BUY Buccaneers @ 72¢
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed