Polymarket market · Sports
Pelicans vs. Nuggets
Resolved: Nuggets won · See it on Polymarket ↗
47 whales traded $255K on this market since Oct 24, 67% of their buying on Pelicans. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 2.3¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Nuggets won, with 33% of the whale buying on it. Of the 42 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$47K and 27 lost −$146K: −$100K between them. Biggest win: Ordinary-Confectionery, +$11K on Nuggets. Biggest loss: Wide-Honoree-Nutmeg, −$25K on Pelicans.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 47| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt-Poisoning
453 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Nuggets @ 61¢ | $26K | — | +$7.3K |
| Wide-Honoree-Nutmeg
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Pelicans @ 11¢ | $25K | — | −$25K |
| Corny-Doc
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Pelicans @ 20¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Belated-Realm
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 20¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
467 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 68¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Obvious-Mastoid
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Pelicans @ 78¢ | $13K | — | −$8.6K |
| Intrepid-Lambkin
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 72¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Nuggets @ 70¢ | $8.8K | — | +$3.8K |
| Clumsy-Meringue-Homonym
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 67¢ | $7.8K | — | −$7.8K |
| Rosy-Nasal-Symptom
20 settled bets Too few bets |
Nuggets @ 62¢ | $3.4K | $4.2K | +$1.8K |
| Scary-Fannypack
226 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Nuggets @ 45¢ | $7.1K | — | +$2.8K |
| Hungry-Webmail
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 62¢ | $7.1K | — | −$7.1K |
| Untimely-Spite
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nuggets @ 80¢ | $6.9K | — | +$1.7K |
| Neighboring-Bunkhouse
82 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 66¢ | $6.0K | — | −$6.0K |
| Ordinary-Confectionery
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Nuggets @ 33¢ | $5.5K | — | +$11K |
| Glass-Treat
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 85¢ | $5.1K | — | −$2.9K |
| Opulent-Device-Spelt
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Pelicans @ 75¢ | $2.3K | $2.7K | +$446 |
| Posh-Persimmon
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Nuggets @ 99.7¢ | $5.0K | — | +$15 |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,854 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 82¢ | $4.7K | — | −$4.7K |
| Superficial-Terminology
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Nuggets @ 62¢ | $2.1K | $2.1K | — |
| Optimistic-Version
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.6K | — |
| Burdensome-Disarmament
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Nuggets @ 81¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | −$20 |
| Oval-Maternity
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nuggets @ 80¢ | $3.0K | — | +$760 |
| Unkempt-Image
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nuggets @ 80¢ | $2.9K | — | +$732 |
| Creamy-Guest
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 85¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
Where the whale money went
-
Pelicans lost$157K67% of whale buying · 29 buyers · $4.8K sold
-
Nuggets won$77K33% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $15K sold
-
Pelicans lost$1.7K1% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | $57K | 8 | Won: Pelicans | |
| Warriors vs. Suns | $190K | 31 | Won: Suns | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $200K | 25 | Won: Milwaukee Brewers | |
| Wild vs. Kraken | $86K | 5 | Won: Wild | |
| Spread: Vikings (-6.5) | $118K | 5 | Open | |
| Rockets vs. Hawks | $277K | 39 | Won: Rockets | |
| Wizards vs. Bulls | $657K | 35 | Won: Wizards | |
| Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Daria Kasatkina | $127K | 17 | Won: Daria Kasatkina |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?