Rosy-Nasal-Symptom
Skill vs luck
Rosy-Nasal-Symptom on Polymarket: 20 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 11%–47%) · profit +$2.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Rosy-Nasal-Symptom: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xa33407765badf8284d542693bea61c97af05d96f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Rosy-Nasal-Symptom: +$2.3K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 11%–47%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$2.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Warriors
@ 64¢
Spread: Suns (-9.5) |
Spread: Suns (-9.5) | $2.4K |
| Oct 25 | SELL Nuggets @ 94¢ | Pelicans vs. Nuggets ↗ | $4.2K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Nuggets @ 62¢ | Pelicans vs. Nuggets ↗ | $3.4K |
| Oct 16 | SELL Up
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | $1.3K |
| Oct 16 | SELL Up
@ 97¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | $2.0K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Up
@ 49¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | $1.0K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Maccabi Tel Aviv
@ 47¢
Barcelona vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv |
Barcelona vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv | $3.8K |
| Oct 12 | SELL Down
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?