Hungry-Webmail
Skill vs luck
Hungry-Webmail on Polymarket: 16 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 28%–72%) · profit −$14K. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Hungry-Webmail: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf0de06dad6368098c6aff79105ff275720788048. Data CC BY 4.0.
Hungry-Webmail: −$14K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 28%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- +$1.9K
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$534
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$16K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Pelicans @ 74¢ | Pelicans vs. Nuggets ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Pelicans @ 61¢ | Pelicans vs. Nuggets ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Pelicans @ 60¢ | Pelicans vs. Nuggets ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Pelicans @ 60¢ | Pelicans vs. Nuggets ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Pelicans @ 60¢ | Pelicans vs. Nuggets ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Hornets @ 94¢ | Heat vs. Hornets ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Heat @ 60¢ | Heat vs. Hornets ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Heat @ 60¢ | Heat vs. Hornets ↗ | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?