Intrepid-Lambkin
0x2d1ffae8d41b181d1b1734016e07bd1a903a5246
Intrepid-Lambkin: −$14K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 47%–82%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$14K
return −14.3%
Settled bets
24
$97K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 47%–82%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$7.9K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$6.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 86¢
Exact Score: US Avellino 1912 1 - 1 UC Sampdoria? |
Exact Score: US Avellino 1912 1 - 1 UC Sampdoria? | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 38¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 |
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 | $4.7K |
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 21¢
Will Malta win on 2026-09-27? |
Will Malta win on 2026-09-27? | $1.1K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Yes
@ 39¢
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-09-26? |
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-09-26? | $5.2K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 36¢
Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-09-26? | $2.8K |
| Sep 25 | SELL No
@ 84¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? |
Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? | $1.1K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22? |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22? | $3.9K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Yes
@ 92¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22? |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22? | $2.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.