Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
Resolved: Pelicans won · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $57K on this market since Oct 24, 92% of their buying on Pelicans. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.7¢ more per share, with 98% of the size there to buy. Pelicans won, with 92% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$51K and 4 lost −$4.8K: +$46K between them. Biggest win: Fake-Bitter, +$45K on Pelicans. Biggest loss: Far-Precipitation, −$1.4K on Nuggets.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fake-Bitter
1,429 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 50¢ | $45K | — | +$45K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,854 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 56¢ | $3.7K | — | +$2.9K |
| Hateful-Chord
198 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Pelicans @ 51¢ | $2.3K | — | +$2.2K |
| Far-Precipitation
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nuggets @ 49¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Near-Archer-Godfather
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nuggets @ 43¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Normal-Check
198 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pelicans @ 59¢ | $1.1K | — | +$797 |
| Sharp-Play-Characteristic
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nuggets @ 49¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
| Earnest-Chorus
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nuggets @ 49¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Pelicans won$53K92% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
Nuggets lost$4.8K8% of whale buying · 4 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans vs. Nuggets | $255K | 47 | Won: Nuggets | |
| Bengals vs. Ravens | $77K | 7 | Open | |
| Predators vs. Penguins | $114K | 4 | Won: Penguins | |
| Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5 | $107K | 4 | Open | |
| Heat vs. Hornets | $465K | 57 | Won: Hornets | |
| Spread: Bulls (-1.5) | $250K | 11 | Won: Wizards | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 | $93K | 7 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | $103K | 9 | Won: Spurs |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?