Posh-Persimmon
Skill vs luck
Posh-Persimmon on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 61%–100%) · profit +$44. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Posh-Persimmon: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x16bdf9042c6e790c74965f5fde6121724f02ed47. Data CC BY 4.0.
Posh-Persimmon: +$44 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 61%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- +$1
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$43
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Nuggets @ 99.7¢ | Pelicans vs. Nuggets ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY 76ers @ 99.87¢ | Bucks vs. 76ers ↗ | $6.1K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Kings
@ 99.87¢
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5) |
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5) | $2.8K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Over
@ 99.9¢
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions: O/U 185.5 |
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions: O/U 185.5 | $3.5K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Fujian Sturgeons
@ 99¢
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeons |
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeons | $1.2K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Over
@ 99.9¢
Istanbulspor AS vs. Igdir FK: O/U 2.5 |
Istanbulspor AS vs. Igdir FK: O/U 2.5 | $1.0K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?