Polymarket market · Sports

Rockets vs. Hawks

Resolved: Rockets won · See it on Polymarket ↗

39 whales traded $277K on this market since Oct 24, 57% of their buying on Rockets. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Rockets won, with 57% of the whale buying on it. Of the 36 whales whose whole position we captured, 25 made +$61K and 11 lost −$96K: −$35K between them. Biggest win: Dizzy-Coliseum, +$7.9K on Rockets. Biggest loss: Arid-Revolver, −$36K on Hawks.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 39
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,854 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 97¢ $51K — +$1.7K
Arid-Revolver
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawks @ 51¢ $36K — −$36K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
336 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 56¢ $27K — +$2.8K
Taut-Semicolon
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawks @ 52¢ $23K — −$23K
Corrupt-Poisoning
453 settled bets Beat the odds*
Hawks @ 43¢ $15K — −$8.7K
Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds*
Hawks @ 48¢ $14K — −$14K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,219 settled bets Worse than the odds
Rockets @ 50¢ $4.9K $6.7K +$4.8K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
467 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 79¢ $8.7K — +$2.3K
Dizzy-Coliseum
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 52¢ $8.6K — +$7.9K
Intrepid-Lambkin
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawks @ 51¢ $5.5K $2.8K —
Limited-Dragonfruit
8 settled bets Too few bets
Rockets @ 56¢ $6.7K — +$5.3K
Positive-Console
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 50¢ $6.3K — +$6.3K
Soft-Fountain-Kick
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 50¢ $5.9K — +$5.9K
Strange-Julienne-Cinema
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 50¢ $5.0K — +$5.0K
Trustworthy-Permit-Reader
6 settled bets Too few bets
Hawks @ 51¢ $4.8K — −$4.8K
Bruised-Downfall
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 57¢ $3.5K — +$484
Flustered-Spouse-Bachelor
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 50¢ $3.2K — +$3.2K
Noisy-Word
43 settled bets Beat the odds*
Hawks @ 43¢ $3.2K — −$3.2K
0x16ea…4f47
4 settled bets Too few bets
Rockets @ 60¢ $3.1K — +$2.1K
Scornful-West
214 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Unruly-Rocker
162 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 58¢ $2.7K — +$1.9K
Unconscious-Optimisation
4 settled bets Too few bets
Rockets @ 48¢ $2.4K — +$2.6K
0xed34…5838
6 settled bets Too few bets
Rockets @ 50¢ $2.1K — +$2.1K
Creamy-Guest
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 99.8¢ $2.1K — +$4
Creepy-Thrift
4 settled bets Too few bets
Rockets @ 50¢ $2.0K — +$2.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Rockets won
    $149K
    57% of whale buying · 27 buyers · $6.7K sold
  2. Hawks lost
    $114K
    43% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $7.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Wizards vs. Bulls $657K 35 Won: Wizards
Spurs vs. Mavericks $264K 17 Won: Spurs
Nets vs. Cavaliers $83K 13 Won: Cavaliers
Bucks vs. 76ers $265K 35 Won: 76ers
Spread: 76ers (-12.5) $768K 12 Won: Bucks
Wild vs. Kraken $86K 5 Won: Wild
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 $93K 7 Won: Over
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers $200K 25 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed