Polymarket market · Sports

Wild vs. Kraken

Resolved: Wild won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales traded $86K on this market since Oct 24, 99% of their buying on Wild. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Wild won, with 99% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$52K and 1 lost −$1.0K: +$51K between them. Biggest win: Multicolored-Self, +$27K on Wild. Biggest loss: Spirited-Project, −$1.0K on Kraken.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Multicolored-Self
9 settled bets Too few bets
Wild @ 63¢ $46K — +$27K
Fresh-Availability
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Wild @ 61¢ $35K — +$22K
Growing-Comestible
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Wild @ 59¢ $2.9K — +$2.0K
Quintessential-Milk
5 settled bets Too few bets
Wild @ 99¢ $1.1K — +$16
Spirited-Project
6 settled bets Too few bets
Kraken @ 39¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Wild won
    $85K
    99% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Kraken lost
    $1.0K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers $200K 25 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
Pelicans vs. Nuggets $255K 47 Won: Nuggets
Rockets vs. Hawks $277K 39 Won: Rockets
Wizards vs. Bulls $657K 35 Won: Wizards
Warriors vs. Suns $190K 31 Won: Suns
Spurs vs. Mavericks $264K 17 Won: Spurs
Nets vs. Cavaliers $83K 13 Won: Cavaliers
Spread: Vikings (-6.5) $118K 5 Open
About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed