Polymarket market · Sports
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers
Resolved: Cavaliers won · See it on Polymarket ↗
55 whales traded $354K on this market since Oct 26, 48% of their buying on Cavaliers. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 93% of the size there to buy. Cavaliers won, with 48% of the whale buying on it. Of the 46 whales whose whole position we captured, 20 made +$139K and 26 lost −$135K: +$4.2K between them. Biggest win: Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement, +$28K on Cavaliers. Biggest loss: Rosy-Trinket, −$48K on Timberwolves.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 55| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosy-Trinket
147 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Timberwolves @ 39¢ | $48K | — | −$48K |
| Scary-Fannypack
269 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cavaliers @ 41¢ | $29K | — | +$27K |
| Lost-Hurdler
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Timberwolves @ 41¢ | $28K | — | −$28K |
| Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
492 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cavaliers @ 30¢ | $17K | — | +$28K |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
376 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cavaliers @ 51¢ | $16K | — | +$4.2K |
| Impish-Cottage
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Timberwolves @ 42¢ | $14K | — | −$14K |
| Eager-Dealer
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Timberwolves @ 64¢ | $1.0K | $13K | — |
| Wide-Honoree-Nutmeg
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Cavaliers @ 59¢ | $12K | — | +$8.5K |
| Positive-Console
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cavaliers @ 62¢ | $12K | — | +$7.4K |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
490 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Timberwolves @ 57¢ | $10K | — | −$5.3K |
| Fine-Capitulation
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Cavaliers @ 40¢ | $10K | — | +$15K |
| Impractical-Gripper
28 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cavaliers @ 61¢ | $9.3K | — | +$1.7K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,490 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Timberwolves @ 40¢ | $9.1K | — | −$2.5K |
| Substantial-Service
1,055 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cavaliers @ 53¢ | $8.7K | — | +$4.9K |
| Practical-Definition
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cavaliers @ 43¢ | $7.9K | — | +$11K |
| Boiling-Sprat-Dwell
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cavaliers @ 61¢ | $7.5K | — | +$4.8K |
| 0x6408…63fa
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $6.7K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cavaliers @ 61¢ | $5.3K | — | −$397 |
| Reckless-Derivation
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cavaliers @ 57¢ | $5.0K | — | +$3.8K |
| Noisy-Word
53 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cavaliers @ 59¢ | $4.7K | — | +$3.3K |
| Crazy-Mouton-Economy
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Timberwolves @ 79¢ | $2.8K | $1.9K | −$873 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,257 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $4.3K | — |
| Key-Capability
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Timberwolves @ 51¢ | $4.1K | — | −$4.1K |
| 0x6db5…e279
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cavaliers @ 28¢ | $4.0K | — | +$10K |
| Hateful-Chord
216 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Timberwolves @ 41¢ | $3.8K | — | −$3.8K |
Where the whale money went
-
Cavaliers won$151K48% of whale buying · 25 buyers · $14K sold
-
Timberwolves lost$144K45% of whale buying · 31 buyers · $23K sold
-
Timberwolves lost$22K7% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Heat | $206K | 19 | Won: Mavericks | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) | $280K | 5 | Won: Warriors | |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | $223K | 14 | Won: Cowboys | |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | $169K | 29 | Won: Bucks | |
| Suns vs. Thunder | $140K | 18 | Won: Thunder | |
| Bulls vs. Celtics | $100K | 10 | Won: Celtics | |
| Wizards vs. Hornets | $379K | 29 | Won: Hornets | |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | $156K | 22 | Won: Rockets |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?