Polymarket market · Sports
Suns vs. Thunder
Resolved: Thunder won · See it on Polymarket ↗
18 whales traded $140K on this market since Oct 26, 76% of their buying on Thunder. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Thunder won, with 76% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$12K and 4 lost −$16K: −$4.8K between them. Biggest win: Corrupt-Poisoning, +$3.4K on Thunder. Biggest loss: Spiffy-Revenue, −$9.3K on Suns.
The whales on this market
18 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x33b1…af25
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $55K | — |
| Spiffy-Revenue
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Suns @ 25¢ | $18K | — | −$9.3K |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
490 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Thunder @ 81¢ | $14K | — | +$3.4K |
| New-Sickness
206 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thunder @ 76¢ | $8.9K | — | +$2.8K |
| Loving-Neuropathologist-Tabby
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thunder @ 78¢ | $6.2K | — | +$1.8K |
| Breakable-Locality
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thunder @ 99.8¢ | $5.1K | — | +$10 |
| Boring-Constellation
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.6K | — |
| Lost-Version-Function
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Thunder @ 74¢ | $4.5K | — | +$1.6K |
| Obvious-Mastoid
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thunder @ 94¢ | $4.2K | — | +$255 |
| Limping-Plan-Fishmonger
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thunder @ 74¢ | $1.5K | $1.9K | +$517 |
| Lost-Property
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Suns @ 25¢ | $3.4K | — | −$3.4K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,955 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Suns @ 26¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Orderly-Venture
146 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thunder @ 78¢ | $2.1K | — | +$595 |
| Exotic-Day-Piano
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Thunder @ 98¢ | $1.9K | — | +$47 |
| Regular-Gallon
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thunder @ 91¢ | $1.6K | — | +$158 |
| Partial-Fraud
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Thunder @ 97¢ | $1.6K | — | +$49 |
| Frivolous-Townhouse
13 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Thunder @ 75¢ | $1.3K | — | +$441 |
| Creamy-Guest
195 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Suns @ 26¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Thunder won$60K76% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $62K sold
-
Suns lost$19K24% of whale buying · 4 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers vs. Bucks | $169K | 29 | Won: Bucks | |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | $223K | 14 | Won: Cowboys | |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | $156K | 22 | Won: Rockets | |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | $52K | 8 | Won: Rockets | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) | $280K | 5 | Won: Warriors | |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | $354K | 55 | Won: Cavaliers | |
| Mavericks vs. Heat | $206K | 19 | Won: Mavericks | |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | $109K | 11 | Won: Milwaukee Brewers |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?