Boiling-Sprat-Dwell
0xddb993dbaee76440dbb42408a1925e38b7aaedcd
Boiling-Sprat-Dwell: +$10K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 73% (95% range 48%–89%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$10K
return +22.1%
Settled bets
15
$46K staked
Won
73.3%
95% range 48%–89%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.2K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$684
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$13K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Hornets
@ 46¢
Spread: Hornets (-3.5) |
Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | $4.9K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Lions
@ 71¢
Lions vs. Cardinals |
Lions vs. Cardinals | $4.7K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Seahawks
@ 89¢
Spread: 49ers (-13.5) |
Spread: 49ers (-13.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Bears
@ 26¢
Bears vs. Packers |
Bears vs. Packers | $3.4K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Portland State
@ 65¢
Utah Tech vs. Portland State |
Utah Tech vs. Portland State | $9.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Hubert Hurkacz
@ 68¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth | $1.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Panthers
@ 59¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $4.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Over
@ 57¢
Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 40.5 |
Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 40.5 | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.