Polymarket market · Sports
Mavericks vs. Heat
Resolved: Mavericks won · See it on Polymarket ↗
19 whales traded $206K on this market since Oct 26, 61% of their buying on Heat. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 2.9¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Mavericks won, with 39% of the whale buying on it. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$127K and 8 lost −$52K: +$75K between them. Biggest win: Smart-Elbow, +$36K on Mavericks. Biggest loss: Grown-Difference-Burnout, −$25K on Heat.
The whales on this market
19 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
492 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 65¢ | $80K | — | +$11K |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
376 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 64¢ | $41K | — | −$25K |
| Smart-Elbow
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Mavericks @ 34¢ | $19K | — | +$36K |
| Essential-Meteor
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Mavericks @ 36¢ | $14K | — | +$24K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,490 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 71¢ | $9.7K | — | −$9.7K |
| Scary-Fannypack
269 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Mavericks @ 14¢ | $5.9K | — | +$28K |
| Trivial-Ravioli
327 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Heat @ 85¢ | $5.5K | — | −$5.5K |
| Practical-Definition
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Mavericks @ 35¢ | $5.4K | — | +$10K |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
490 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Mavericks @ 38¢ | $5.2K | — | +$8.5K |
| Regular-Gallon
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 85¢ | $4.9K | — | −$4.9K |
| Key-Capability
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Mavericks @ 38¢ | $3.0K | — | +$2.2K |
| Glass-Treat
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 86¢ | $2.6K | — | −$2.6K |
| Noisy-Word
53 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Mavericks @ 41¢ | $2.1K | — | +$3.0K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Mavericks @ 98¢ | $2.0K | — | +$41 |
| Rosy-Trinket
147 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Mavericks @ 29¢ | $1.8K | — | +$4.5K |
| Potable-Frenzy
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Alert-Gigantism
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 59¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Narrow-Authorization
69 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Heat @ 80¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Dirty-Burn
23 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Heat @ 86¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Heat lost$125K61% of whale buying · 11 buyers
-
Mavericks won$80K39% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $1.6K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) | $68K | 5 | Won: Mavericks | |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | $354K | 55 | Won: Cavaliers | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) | $280K | 5 | Won: Warriors | |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | $223K | 14 | Won: Cowboys | |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | $169K | 29 | Won: Bucks | |
| Suns vs. Thunder | $140K | 18 | Won: Thunder | |
| Bulls vs. Celtics | $100K | 10 | Won: Celtics | |
| Wizards vs. Hornets | $379K | 29 | Won: Hornets |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?