Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
Resolved: Warriors won · See it on Polymarket ↗
5 whales traded $280K on this market since Oct 26, 99% of their buying on Warriors. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 47% of the size there to buy. Warriors won, with 99% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$244K and 1 lost −$3.8K: +$240K between them. Biggest win: Vivid-Ski, +$233K on Warriors. Biggest loss: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, −$3.8K on Nuggets.
The whales on this market
5 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid-Ski
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Warriors @ 53¢ | $263K | — | +$233K |
| Venerated-Hoof-Lake
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Warriors @ 51¢ | $10K | — | +$9.6K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nuggets @ 50¢ | $3.8K | — | −$3.8K |
| Mean-Cesspool
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Wry-Railing
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Warriors @ 51¢ | $1.3K | — | +$1.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Warriors won$274K99% of whale buying · 3 buyers
-
Nuggets lost$3.8K1% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Nuggets lost$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.6K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | $546K | 53 | Won: Warriors | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) | $120K | 4 | Won: Warriors | |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | $354K | 55 | Won: Cavaliers | |
| Mavericks vs. Heat | $206K | 19 | Won: Mavericks | |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | $223K | 14 | Won: Cowboys | |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | $169K | 29 | Won: Bucks | |
| Suns vs. Thunder | $140K | 18 | Won: Thunder | |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | $156K | 22 | Won: Rockets |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?