Polymarket market · Sports

Pacers vs. Bucks

Resolved: Bucks won · See it on Polymarket ↗

29 whales traded $169K on this market since Oct 26, 48% of their buying on Pacers. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 92% of the size there to buy. Bucks won, with 36% of the whale buying on it. Of the 27 whales whose whole position we captured, 17 made +$47K and 10 lost −$90K: −$43K between them. Biggest win: Fake-Bitter, +$14K on Bucks. Biggest loss: Smart-Elbow, −$23K on Bucks.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 29
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Smart-Elbow
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 74¢ $23K — −$23K
Scary-Fannypack
269 settled bets Beat the odds*
Pacers @ 59¢ $20K — −$14K
Tasty-Rutabaga
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pacers @ 61¢ $20K — −$20K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
376 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pacers @ 54¢ $20K — −$12K
Practical-Definition
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pacers @ 55¢ $10K — −$10K
Key-Capability
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 45¢ $9.1K — −$15
Fake-Bitter
1,490 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 39¢ $9.1K — +$14K
Positive-Console
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 40¢ $7.8K — +$12K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 65¢ $6.6K — +$3.5K
Powerless-Savannah
2,955 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bucks @ 48¢ $5.9K — +$3.1K
Loving-Neuropathologist-Tabby
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pacers @ 70¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Ashamed-Communicant
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 99.8¢ $4.3K — +$9
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
492 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pacers @ 27¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Hateful-Chord
216 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bucks @ 40¢ $2.6K — +$3.9K
Glass-Treat
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 73¢ $2.2K — +$802
Deficient-Emphasis
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Normal-Check
216 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 41¢ $2.1K — +$3.0K
Damaged-Bore
6 settled bets Too few bets
Bucks @ 84¢ $2.0K — +$381
Regular-Gallon
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 99.7¢ $1.7K — +$5
Legal-Revascularisation-Rug
3 settled bets Too few bets
Pacers @ 61¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Mild-Stimulation-Attempt
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Noisy-Word
53 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bucks @ 74¢ $1.5K — +$520
Unkempt-Image
138 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 39¢ $1.3K — +$2.1K
Untrue-Vegetation
4 settled bets Too few bets
Bucks @ 40¢ $1.3K — +$2.0K
Irresponsible-Autumn
117 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bucks @ 73¢ $1.2K — +$447

Where the whale money went

  1. Pacers lost
    $79K
    48% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $3.7K sold
  2. Bucks won
    $60K
    36% of whale buying · 20 buyers
  3. Bucks lost
    $26K
    16% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793084411).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) $223K 14 Won: Cowboys
Suns vs. Thunder $140K 18 Won: Thunder
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) $280K 5 Won: Warriors
Hawks vs. Rockets $156K 22 Won: Rockets
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers $354K 55 Won: Cavaliers
Mavericks vs. Heat $206K 19 Won: Mavericks
Spread: Rockets (-4.5) $52K 8 Won: Rockets
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays $109K 11 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed