Polymarket market · Sports
Celtics vs. Pistons
Resolved: Pistons won · See it on Polymarket ↗
37 whales traded $213K on this market since Oct 18, 56% of their buying on Celtics. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Pistons won, with 41% of the whale buying on it. Of the 29 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$52K and 14 lost −$76K: −$25K between them. Biggest win: Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement, +$22K on Pistons. Biggest loss: Shoddy-Harmonise, −$17K on Celtics.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 37| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
232 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Celtics @ 72¢ | $49K | — | −$12K |
| Heavenly-Numismatist
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $24K | — |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
366 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pistons @ 85¢ | $20K | — | +$39 |
| Shoddy-Harmonise
94 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Celtics @ 52¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Cluttered-Possible
19 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Celtics @ 96¢ | $13K | — | −$13K |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,019 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Celtics @ 72¢ | $8.9K | — | −$8.9K |
| Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
449 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pistons @ 24¢ | $7.1K | — | +$22K |
| Noisy-Word
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Celtics @ 53¢ | $4.2K | $1.4K | −$2.8K |
| 0xc4fd…0677
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Pistons @ 29¢ | $5.5K | — | +$4.8K |
| Steel-Bull
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pistons @ 48¢ | $4.8K | — | +$5.2K |
| 0x6db5…e279
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Celtics @ 82¢ | $4.3K | — | −$4.3K |
| Angelic-Paint
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Celtics @ 82¢ | $4.1K | — | −$4.1K |
| Clear-Burnout
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Pistons @ 47¢ | $4.0K | — | +$4.5K |
| Hurtful-Nonconformist
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pistons @ 49¢ | $4.0K | — | +$4.1K |
| Snappy-Fold-Stepson
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Celtics @ 72¢ | $3.4K | — | −$3.4K |
| Rusty-Reminder
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Celtics @ 76¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
| Nervous-Salt
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Celtics @ 83¢ | $1.2K | $1.5K | — |
| Mixed-Chatter
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.6K | — |
| Pink-Haversack
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K | — |
| International-Fund
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Celtics @ 64¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Creepy-Weekender-Guacamole
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Celtics @ 50¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Unacceptable-Barn
115 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $2.2K | — | +$2 |
| Oddball-Province
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Grand-Barometer
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Pistons @ 49¢ | $2.0K | — | +$2.1K |
| Discrete-Shift
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Celtics @ 54¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
Where the whale money went
-
Celtics lost$99K56% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $33K sold
-
Pistons won$72K41% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $4.7K sold
-
Pistons lost$4.7K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 18 to Oct 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792566006).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | $264K | 32 | Won: No | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 | $265K | 14 | Won: Over | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | $191K | 29 | Won: Yes | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | $78K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | $120K | 19 | Won: Yes | |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | $195K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | $64K | 11 | Won: Over | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | $107K | 10 | Won: No |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?