Creepy-Weekender-Guacamole

0xc83597e739cb613c9ea4680c977631f0f1e13911

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Creepy-Weekender-Guacamole: +$3.2K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.2K
return +36.1%
Settled bets
7
$8.9K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 3 – Sep 17
−$75
Sep 17 – Oct 1
−$1.5K
Oct 1 – Oct 15
+$4.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5% (2,043 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 BUY Rafael Jodar @ 66¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar $1.3K
Oct 14 BUY Thunder @ 31¢
Pacers vs. Thunder
Pacers vs. Thunder $1.9K
Oct 3 SELL Qinwen Zheng @ 99.9¢
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Anna Kalinskaya
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Anna Kalinskaya $1.2K
Sep 29 SELL Pablo Carreno Busta @ 99.1¢
China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta $1.5K
Sep 20 BUY Miami Marlins @ 20¢
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres $1.5K
Sep 16 BUY San Francisco Giants @ 75¢
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals $3.1K
Sep 11 BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 28¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton $1.1K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed