Cluttered-Possible
0x511a5239644e88fbde60d9fd56aa3e87b3da9745
Cluttered-Possible: −$5.9K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 25%–66%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$5.9K
return −15.7%
Settled bets
18
$38K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 25%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$353
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$174
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$6.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | BUY Besiktas
@ 57¢
Besiktas vs. Barcelona |
Besiktas vs. Barcelona | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Olympiacos B.C.
@ 79¢
Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C. |
Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C. | $4.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? | $2.0K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Panathinaikos
@ 88¢
Panathinaikos vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne |
Panathinaikos vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | $7.7K |
| Sep 11 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will FCV Farul Constanţa win on 2026-09-11? |
Will FCV Farul Constanţa win on 2026-09-11? | $3.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? | $1.3K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Yes
@ 91¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-02? |
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-02? | $1.5K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Yes
@ 97¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02? |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02? | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.