Polymarket market · Sports
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
19 whales traded $120K on this market since Oct 19, 84% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 84% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$10K and 2 lost −$18K: −$7.5K between them. Biggest win: Well-Lit-Snowmobiling-Sunglasses, +$2.7K on Yes. Biggest loss: Heavy-Hemisphere-Insurrection, −$16K on No.
The whales on this market
19 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trivial-Ravioli
301 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 99¢ | $18K | — | +$201 |
| Heavy-Hemisphere-Insurrection
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 16¢ | $16K | — | −$16K |
| Well-Lit-Snowmobiling-Sunglasses
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 85¢ | $15K | — | +$2.7K |
| Smoggy-Veterinarian
17 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $14K | — | +$1.7K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,375 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 91¢ | $9.7K | — | +$1.0K |
| Vengeful-Running-Technique
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 85¢ | $8.2K | — | +$1.5K |
| Proud-Patrolling-Nose
168 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 96¢ | $4.0K | $4.1K | +$100 |
| Miserable-Poison
1,206 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 85¢ | $5.3K | — | +$939 |
| Silky-Subroutine
266 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99¢ | $4.5K | — | +$49 |
| Diligent-Gallery-Offset
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 87¢ | $3.1K | — | +$462 |
| Oval-Maternity
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 86¢ | $3.0K | — | +$490 |
| Bare-Creek-Console
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Lost-Property
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99¢ | $2.5K | — | +$25 |
| 0xd5f3…bc37
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 85¢ | $2.3K | — | +$409 |
| Flustered-Mortise
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 12¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Frozen-Stimulation
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 87¢ | $1.6K | — | +$246 |
| Strident-Subtitle
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Full-Fighter
23 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 85¢ | $1.1K | — | +$201 |
| Stormy-Wage
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$93K84% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $9.6K sold
-
No lost$18K16% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 19 to Oct 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792566006).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) | $79K | 8 | Won: Manchester City FC | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | $78K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | $195K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | $64K | 11 | Won: Over | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | $107K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | $191K | 29 | Won: Yes | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 | $265K | 14 | Won: Over | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | $59K | 4 | Won: Over |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?