Mixed-Chatter
Skill vs luck
Mixed-Chatter on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit +$2.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Mixed-Chatter: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7ba5b5b21c2d4bab224ca5ad446cc31c776faaf1. Data CC BY 4.0.
Mixed-Chatter: +$2.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$6
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- +$2.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | SELL 76ers @ 31¢ | 76ers vs. Knicks ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 20 | BUY 76ers @ 36¢ | 76ers vs. Knicks ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Celtics @ 81¢ | Celtics vs. Pistons ↗ | $2.6K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Northwestern @ 99.45¢ | Penn State vs. Northwestern ↗ | $1.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?