Polymarket market · Sports
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
10 whales traded $107K on this market since Oct 20, 81% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 19% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$10K and 6 lost −$87K: −$77K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$4.3K on No. Biggest loss: Stylish-Warrant, −$77K on Yes.
In the live feed
Polymarket whale betsThe whales on this market
10 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stylish-Warrant
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 45¢ | $77K | — | −$77K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,375 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 85¢ | $9.0K | — | +$1.6K |
| Miserable-Poison
1,206 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 64¢ | $5.4K | — | +$3.1K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,558 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 53¢ | $4.9K | — | +$4.3K |
| Exemplary-Shoreline
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 47¢ | $3.8K | — | −$3.8K |
| Sticky-Pepper
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 46¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
| Monstrous-Dew
436 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 45¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Well-Lit-Snowmobiling-Sunglasses
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 55¢ | $1.2K | — | +$1.0K |
| Experienced-Jaw
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 47¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
| Angelic-Closure
15 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 46¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$87K81% of whale buying · 6 buyers
-
No won$21K19% of whale buying · 4 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792566006).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20? | $285K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | $64K | 11 | Won: Over | |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | $195K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | $120K | 19 | Won: Yes | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | $78K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | $191K | 29 | Won: Yes | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 | $265K | 14 | Won: Over | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | $59K | 4 | Won: Over |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?