International-Fund
Skill vs luck
International-Fund on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–32%) · profit −$3.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “International-Fund: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6603c53617ffc961bcac103456f024b73930959e. Data CC BY 4.0.
International-Fund: −$3.5K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–32%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- −$3.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | SELL Down
@ 99.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | $1.4K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Celtics @ 64¢ | Celtics vs. Pistons ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 20 | BUY
@ 45¢
Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? |
Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | $1.0K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Aidan Mayo
@ 99.9¢
Fort Worth: Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith |
Fort Worth: Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith | $2.1K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Up
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | $1.1K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Moyuka Uchijima
@ 99.9¢
Japan Women's Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Ena Shibahara |
Japan Women's Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Ena Shibahara | $1.6K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Alycia Parks
@ 53¢
Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Alycia Parks |
Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Alycia Parks | $1.1K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Packers @ 99.9¢ | Cowboys vs. Packers ↗ | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?