Polymarket market · Sports
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗
5 whales traded $78K on this market since Oct 20, 95% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Over won, with 95% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$3.3K and 1 lost −$1.7K: +$1.6K between them. Biggest win: 0x18d1…ea32, +$2.5K on Over. Biggest loss: Scary-Edible, −$1.7K on Under.
The whales on this market
5 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank-Beech
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 86¢ | $21K | $42K | — |
| 0x18d1…ea32
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 70¢ | $6.0K | — | +$2.5K |
| Fickle-Egghead
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.3K | — |
| Best-Bacterium
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 79¢ | $3.0K | — | +$786 |
| Scary-Edible
1,511 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 13¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
Where the whale money went
-
Over won$30K95% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $47K sold
-
Under lost$1.7K5% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792566006).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | $264K | 32 | Won: No | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 | $265K | 14 | Won: Over | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | $191K | 29 | Won: Yes | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | $64K | 11 | Won: Over | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | $59K | 4 | Won: Over | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | $120K | 19 | Won: Yes | |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | $195K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | $107K | 10 | Won: No |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?