Polymarket market · Other
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
29 whales traded $298K on this market since Oct 19, 77% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. No won, with 23% of the whale buying on it. Of the 27 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$54K and 19 lost −$223K: −$168K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$16K on No. Biggest loss: Busy-Wolf-Spectacle, −$118K on Yes.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 29| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busy-Wolf-Spectacle
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 60¢ | $118K | — | −$118K |
| Bare-Creek-Console
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 62¢ | $30K | — | −$30K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,130 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 58¢ | $22K | — | +$16K |
| Weighty-Pleat
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $20K | — | −$20K |
| Pastel-Method
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 68¢ | $19K | — | +$8.8K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 65¢ | $8.1K | — | +$4.4K |
| Hateful-Volunteer
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $7.2K | — | −$7.2K |
| Insubstantial-Organizing
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 41¢ | $7.0K | — | +$10K |
| Thorny-Flock
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $6.0K | — | −$6.0K |
| Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
492 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 45¢ | $5.8K | — | −$1.9K |
| Adolescent-Odometer-Stud
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 61¢ | $5.1K | — | −$5.1K |
| Monumental-Circumstance
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 62¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,490 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 64¢ | $4.9K | — | −$4.9K |
| Kosher-Refuse
405 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 62¢ | $4.6K | — | −$4.6K |
| Growing-Toughguy
29 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $4.0K | — | −$4.0K |
| 0xf584…3979
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 46¢ | $3.3K | — | +$4.0K |
| Some-Tract-Infancy
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.2K | — |
| 0xed34…5838
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 39¢ | $2.7K | — | +$4.3K |
| Lanky-Collectivisation-Decrease
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $2.6K | — | −$2.6K |
| Ideal-Plane
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 60¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Terrible-Anticipation-Fraud
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 39¢ | $2.4K | — | +$3.8K |
| Each-Summary
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 64¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
| Remorseful-Tray
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Bad-Documentation
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 45¢ | $2.3K | — | +$2.8K |
| Monstrous-Dew
481 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 62¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$225K77% of whale buying · 19 buyers · $4.5K sold
-
No won$68K23% of whale buying · 9 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 19 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | $489K | 40 | Won: Yes | |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | $106K | 7 | Won: Under | |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | $449K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | $54K | 5 | Won: Real Madrid CF | |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | $70K | 18 | Open | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | $309K | 24 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $211K | 20 | Open | |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25? | $87K | 11 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?