Terrible-Anticipation-Fraud
Skill vs luck
Terrible-Anticipation-Fraud on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$4.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Terrible-Anticipation-Fraud: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9c19bfe0a477032bb741d9650c110a0e492c5d12. Data CC BY 4.0.
Terrible-Anticipation-Fraud: +$4.8K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$4.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY No
@ 74¢
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-26? |
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-26? | $3.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY No @ 39¢ | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? ↗ | $2.4K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?