Polymarket market · Other
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $106K on this market since Oct 25, 56% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 2.8¢ more per share, with 91% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 56% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$40K and 3 lost −$46K: −$6.2K between them. Biggest win: Open-Fingernail-Bullet, +$34K on Under. Biggest loss: Glaring-Salt, −$43K on Over.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open-Fingernail-Bullet
155 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 57¢ | $45K | — | +$34K |
| Glaring-Salt
2,096 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 46¢ | $43K | — | −$43K |
| Creamy-Guest
195 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 70¢ | $5.2K | — | +$2.2K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 98¢ | $5.1K | — | +$104 |
| Giving-Overexertion-Volume
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 55¢ | $4.3K | — | +$3.5K |
| Bulky-Questioner
16 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Over @ 45¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Nippy-Billing-Function
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 46¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
Where the whale money went
-
Under won$59K56% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
Over lost$46K44% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | $489K | 40 | Won: Yes | |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | $298K | 29 | Won: No | |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | $449K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | $54K | 5 | Won: Real Madrid CF | |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | $70K | 18 | Open | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | $309K | 24 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $211K | 20 | Open | |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25? | $87K | 11 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?