Polymarket market · Other

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Resolved: Real Madrid CF won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales traded $54K on this market since Oct 24, 77% of their buying on FC Barcelona. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Real Madrid CF won, with 23% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$8.7K and 2 lost −$42K: −$33K between them. Biggest win: Glaring-Salt, +$7.1K on Real Madrid CF. Biggest loss: Discrete-Bus-Silkworm, −$33K on FC Barcelona.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Discrete-Bus-Silkworm
3 settled bets Too few bets
FC Barcelona @ 43¢ $33K — −$33K
Glaring-Salt
2,096 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Real Madrid CF @ 58¢ $9.8K — +$7.1K
Unlucky-Beggar
3 settled bets Too few bets
FC Barcelona @ 42¢ $9.0K — −$9.0K
Miserable-Poison
1,357 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Real Madrid CF @ 60¢ $1.3K — +$841
All-Peasant-Drug
1,136 settled bets Worse than the odds
Real Madrid CF @ 60¢ $1.1K — +$739

Where the whale money went

  1. FC Barcelona lost
    $42K
    77% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. Real Madrid CF won
    $12K
    23% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793084411).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? $489K 40 Won: Yes
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 $106K 7 Won: Under
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? $298K 29 Won: No
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? $449K 6 Won: No
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? $70K 18 Open
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25? $87K 11 Won: Yes
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? $121K 16 Open
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-25? $63K 8 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed