Lanky-Collectivisation-Decrease
Skill vs luck
Lanky-Collectivisation-Decrease on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 80% (95% range 38%–96%) · profit +$3.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Lanky-Collectivisation-Decrease: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x98665b116256ed1b72ac174bb4508ac1c9f7db90. Data CC BY 4.0.
Lanky-Collectivisation-Decrease: +$3.6K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$3.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Ohio @ 51¢ | Spread: Ohio (-10.5) ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 70¢ | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 19 | BUY Under @ 54¢ | Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Toledo
@ 73¢
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan |
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan | $2.6K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Toledo
@ 55¢
Spread: Toledo (-6.5) |
Spread: Toledo (-6.5) | $1.2K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Toledo
@ 72¢
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan |
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan | $2.4K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?