Polymarket market · Other
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $87K on this market since Oct 25, 73% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 94% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 73% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$8.9K and 2 lost −$23K: −$14K between them. Biggest win: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, +$3.0K on Yes. Biggest loss: Heavy-Hemisphere-Insurrection, −$18K on No.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $38K | — | +$3.0K |
| Heavy-Hemisphere-Insurrection
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 36¢ | $18K | — | −$18K |
| Distant-Pomelo
209 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 70¢ | $6.3K | — | +$2.7K |
| Short-Term-Aspic
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 97¢ | $5.0K | — | +$177 |
| Queasy-Puddle
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 32¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Silky-Geometry
289 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 68¢ | $4.8K | — | +$2.3K |
| Corrupt-Barrel
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 86¢ | $4.2K | — | +$690 |
| Half-Bus-Complement
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 95¢ | $1.9K | — | +$100 |
| Authorized-Mover
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.5K | — | +$2 |
| Cute-Inside-Soccer
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Complete-Boyfriend
25 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$61K73% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $2.5K sold
-
No lost$23K27% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | $121K | 16 | Open | |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-25? | $63K | 8 | Won: Yes | |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | $70K | 18 | Open | |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | $54K | 5 | Won: Real Madrid CF | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $54K | 16 | Won: Natus Vincere | |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25? | $102K | 5 | Won: No | |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $131K | 19 | Won: Aurora Gaming | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | $737K | 78 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?