0xed34…5838
Skill vs luck
0xed34…5838 on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 10%–70%) · profit −$2.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xed34…5838: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xed34b222f73397d4c0c157702972a71797735838. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xed34…5838: −$2.5K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$2.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes
@ 32¢
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-25? |
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-25? | $2.3K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Rockets @ 50¢ | Rockets vs. Hawks ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Oilers
@ 40¢
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers |
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers | $1.5K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Heat @ 49¢ | Heat vs. Hornets ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5 |
RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5 | $1.9K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 33¢ | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Under
@ 53¢
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5 |
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5 | $2.4K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?