Polymarket market · Sports

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

46 whales traded $338K on this market since Oct 31, 64% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 64% of the whale buying on it. Of the 36 whales whose whole position we captured, 23 made +$106K and 13 lost −$102K: +$4.2K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$36K on Yes. Biggest loss: Pristine-Hatred, −$43K on No.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 46
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
1,166 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 65¢ $67K — +$36K
Pristine-Hatred
134 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 56¢ $43K — −$43K
Honest-Morbidity-Prospect
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $29K — −$29K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 47¢ $24K — +$12K
Flippant-Section
74 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 43¢ $21K — +$28K
Corrupt-Barrel
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 97¢ $15K — +$464
Made-Up-Remnant
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 47¢ $7.0K $6.4K −$596
Trivial-Ravioli
356 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 99¢ $12K — +$118
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
228 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 55¢ $11K — −$11K
Next-Licensing
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.9¢ $10K — +$10
Scary-Farming
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $8.5K — +$175
Spiteful-Banquette-Seal
118 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 65¢ $3.3K $3.2K −$10
0x8b32…5950
15 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 53¢ $6.3K — −$6.3K
Fake-Suet
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 43¢ $5.0K — +$6.6K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,712 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $4.9K — −$1.8K
Friendly-Raffle
13 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 53¢ $4.5K — +$3.9K
Thorny-Snowboarding
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $4.3K — +$5.5K
Unwelcome-Opening-Sultan
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.2K —
Used-Moose
50 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 48¢ $3.0K — +$3.3K
Aged-Assistance
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.8¢ $3.0K — +$6
Stable-Buck-Expectation
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Stormy-Influence
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 55¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Miserable-Poison
1,492 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 53¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Short-Term-Aspic
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $2.5K — +$53
Joyous-Interpreter
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 43¢ $2.2K — +$3.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $198K
    64% of whale buying · 25 buyers · $24K sold
  2. No lost
    $113K
    36% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $4.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 $85K 4 Won: Over
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 $111K 17 Won: Under
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 $61K 4 Won: Under
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? $72K 16 Won: No
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi $190K 15 Won: Benjamin Bonzi
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 $149K 9 Won: Under
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz $165K 16 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 $79K 8 Won: Under
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed