Polymarket market · Sports

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales traded $111K on this market since Oct 31, 53% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 96% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 53% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$28K and 6 lost −$36K: −$7.8K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$14K on Under. Biggest loss: Snappy-Basketball, −$23K on Over.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,712 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 60¢ $31K — −$1.0K
Snappy-Basketball
377 settled bets Worse than the odds
Over @ 60¢ $23K — −$23K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 55¢ $16K — +$14K
Glaring-Salt
2,277 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 40¢ $7.4K — +$11K
Agile-Text
412 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 78¢ $6.1K — −$1.4K
Sardonic-Hub
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 60¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Miserable-Poison
1,492 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 61¢ $3.3K — +$2.1K
0x1bc3…dc6e
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 98¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Glass-Treat
90 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 98¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Scary-Edible
1,692 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 70¢ $2.4K — +$1.0K
Prestigious-Precedence
166 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 99¢ $2.1K — +$21
Homely-Zucchini-Bit
289 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.7K —
0x249e…dca1
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Scaly-Precedence-Seagull
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,368 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Excitable-Concentrate
3 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 68¢ $1.1K — +$515
Warm-Tuition-Someplace
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Under won
    $54K
    53% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  2. Over lost
    $49K
    48% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $6.9K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? $338K 46 Won: Yes
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 $85K 4 Won: Over
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 $61K 4 Won: Under
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? $72K 16 Won: No
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi $190K 15 Won: Benjamin Bonzi
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 $149K 9 Won: Under
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz $165K 16 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 $79K 8 Won: Under
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed