Scary-Farming
0x21140e4608d03a0be0ac5462784fd42c2a8fc1bb
Scary-Farming: +$2.1K on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 84% (95% range 65%–94%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.1K
return +1.8%
Settled bets
25
$117K staked
Won
84.0%
95% range 65%–94%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$11K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$7.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$1.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
Slovakia leading at halftime? |
Slovakia leading at halftime? | $1.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 88¢
England vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 |
England vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | $2.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-10-04? | $3.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 90¢
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? | $2.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Portugal
@ 90¢
Spread: Denmark (-1.5) |
Spread: Denmark (-1.5) | $3.8K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Under
@ 71¢
Club Tijuana vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5 |
Club Tijuana vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5 | $2.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 92¢
Portugal leading at halftime? |
Portugal leading at halftime? | $2.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Norway leading at halftime? |
Norway leading at halftime? | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.