Next-Licensing
0xeee15bab16ce025cf7c10f20385498c8d311c026
Next-Licensing: −$19K on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 92% (95% range 75%–98%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$19K
return −25.2%
Settled bets
25
$75K staked
Won
92.0%
95% range 75%–98%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 24 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$16
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$15
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$19K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Under
@ 99.9¢
Querétaro FC vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5 |
Querétaro FC vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5 | $7.6K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Exact Score: Tigres de la UANL 4 - 2 Deportivo Toluca FC? |
Exact Score: Tigres de la UANL 4 - 2 Deportivo Toluca FC? | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes
@ 84¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 9? |
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 9? | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 99.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 9? |
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 9? | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 98¢
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5 |
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5 | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 99¢
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5 |
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Over
@ 99.88¢
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $1.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Under
@ 99.81¢
Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 7.5 |
Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 7.5 | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.