Polymarket market · Sports

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales traded $72K on this market since Oct 30, 61% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 61% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$12K and 5 lost −$23K: −$10K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$5.2K on No. Biggest loss: Sneaky-Nod-Agony, −$8.0K on Yes.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 76¢ $16K — +$5.2K
Straight-Gift
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $9.1K —
Sneaky-Nod-Agony
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 29¢ $8.0K — −$8.0K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,712 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 32¢ $6.1K — −$3.8K
Urban-Cape-Disk
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 33¢ $5.3K — −$5.3K
Blind-Highway
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 70¢ $5.0K — +$2.1K
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
228 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 31¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Forked-Pricing
283 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 90¢ $3.9K — +$460
Trim-Winner-Amusement
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 55¢ $3.1K — +$2.6K
Fake-Bitter
1,666 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 69¢ $2.4K — +$1.1K
Elegant-Plugin
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.6¢ $2.0K — +$8
0x3801…7013
26 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Utilized-Cheesecake
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 78¢ $1.5K — +$431
Miserable-Poison
1,492 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 26¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Incomplete-Suppression-Theory
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Gracious-Childbirth
20 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 71¢ $1.1K — +$449

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $37K
    61% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $12K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $23K
    39% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? $338K 46 Won: Yes
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 $85K 4 Won: Over
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 $111K 17 Won: Under
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 $61K 4 Won: Under
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi $190K 15 Won: Benjamin Bonzi
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 $149K 9 Won: Under
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz $165K 16 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 $79K 8 Won: Under
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed