Polymarket market · Sports
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
4 whales traded $61K on this market since Oct 30, 90% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 2.3¢ more per share, with 80% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 90% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$6.5K and 1 lost −$6.1K: +$416 between them. Biggest win: Probable-Motion-Millstone, +$4.3K on Under. Biggest loss: 0x0f34…7684, −$6.1K on Over.
The whales on this market
4 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probable-Motion-Millstone
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Under @ 92¢ | $50K | — | +$4.3K |
| 0x0f34…7684
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 38¢ | $6.1K | — | −$6.1K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
6,030 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 74¢ | $3.1K | — | +$1.1K |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,259 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Under @ 63¢ | $1.9K | — | +$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Under won$55K90% of whale buying · 3 buyers
-
Over lost$6.1K10% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793602824).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | $338K | 46 | Won: Yes | |
| Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 | $85K | 4 | Won: Over | |
| Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | $111K | 17 | Won: Under | |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? | $72K | 16 | Won: No | |
| Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi | $190K | 15 | Won: Benjamin Bonzi | |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 | $149K | 9 | Won: Under | |
| Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz | $165K | 16 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz | |
| Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 | $79K | 8 | Won: Under |