Polymarket market · Esports
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner
Resolved: Team Spirit won · See it on Polymarket ↗
27 whales traded $91K on this market since Oct 25, 88% of their buying on Team Spirit. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.7¢ less per share, with 91% of the size there to buy. Team Spirit won, with 88% of the whale buying on it. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$20K and 4 lost −$6.7K: +$14K between them. Biggest win: Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling, +$9.7K on Team Spirit. Biggest loss: Harmless-Baseball, −$3.3K on Astra Invicta.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 27| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling
243 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Spirit @ 67¢ | $20K | — | +$9.7K |
| Wild-Plough-Brocolli
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $13K | — |
| Knowledgeable-Welfare
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Team Spirit @ 80¢ | $2.2K | $6.4K | — |
| Expert-Statement
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Spirit @ 64¢ | $5.9K | — | +$3.3K |
| Distant-Eyeliner-Top
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Team Spirit @ 74¢ | $3.8K | — | +$1.4K |
| Harmless-Baseball
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 28¢ | $3.3K | — | −$3.3K |
| Finished-Cholesterol
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Spirit @ 70¢ | $3.2K | — | +$1.4K |
| Other-Laboratory
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Spirit @ 75¢ | $2.9K | — | +$977 |
| Grounded-Pantologist-Income
152 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Firm-Builder-Index
13 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K | — |
| Complex-Elbow
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Spectacular-Lottery-Cayenne
21 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Zigzag-Larch-School
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Team Spirit @ 97¢ | $2.0K | — | +$61 |
| Wide-Swordfish-Latitude
76 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Team Spirit @ 67¢ | $1.9K | — | +$959 |
| Worst-Analogue
443 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Spirit @ 80¢ | $1.6K | — | +$400 |
| Plain-Attitude
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Spirit @ 80¢ | $1.6K | — | +$400 |
| Nervous-Parallelogram
416 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Spirit @ 80¢ | $1.6K | — | +$400 |
| Disgusting-Ability
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Spirit @ 90¢ | $1.5K | — | +$172 |
| Ill-Fated-Checkroom
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Team Spirit @ 65¢ | $1.4K | — | +$778 |
| Miniature-Hobbit
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Spirit @ 66¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Humiliating-Towtruck-Gunpowder
20 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Immaculate-Eleventh
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Striped-Improvement-Fame
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Team Spirit @ 65¢ | $1.1K | — | +$615 |
| Lively-Beech
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Alive-Dreamer-Hummus
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 35¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Team Spirit won$51K88% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $32K sold
-
Astra Invicta lost$5.3K9% of whale buying · 3 buyers
-
Team Spirit lost$1.3K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More esports markets the whales bet on
All Esports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $245K | 48 | Won: Invictus Gaming | |
| LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $250K | 59 | Won: Top Esports | |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $186K | 36 | Won: OG | |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | $66K | 8 | Won: PARIVISION | |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | $68K | 16 | Won: Dplus KIA | |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | $103K | 20 | Won: Dplus KIA | |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $176K | 31 | Won: Dplus KIA | |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner | $87K | 29 | Won: Team Liquid |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?