Zigzag-Larch-School
Skill vs luck
Zigzag-Larch-School on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 7%–59%) · profit −$2.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Zigzag-Larch-School: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x36d7feeebc8e4822510baa40031b18aff925c7ed. Data CC BY 4.0.
Zigzag-Larch-School: −$2.0K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 7%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$2.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL LYON @ 99.9¢ | LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yellow Submarine
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 23 | BUY HULIGANI
@ 71¢
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A |
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A | $1.5K |
| Oct 23 | BUY GamerLegion @ 95¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Team Liquid @ 67¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Solary
@ 60¢
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 22 | SELL HULIGANI
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner | $4.1K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner | $3.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?